Saturday, August 24, 2013

More on the weather in Kyoto


I have discovered the "official" weather forecast for Kyoto from the Japan Meteorological Agency.  Previously, some of the weather reports have been from the airport in Osaka -- nearby, but much cooler.

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/week/333.html

In the forecasts, they actually acknowledge an error band around the predictions and they rate the accuracy of their estimate as A, B, or C.  And they even give you the percent correct for A and C predictions.  The accuracy of the precipitation forecast was 86% for A level of confidence and 56% for C level of confidence.

I think this level of information is great -- and it make sense when you realize that all students get some statistics in high school.

None of this detail changes the fact that it will continue in the 90's and high 90's more or less indefinitely.  Apparently fall comes with fall colors and cool weather in November.  Kyoto is known to be particularly hot because it is surrounded by mountains that hold the air in.

Being surrounded by mountains was strategically a good idea back in the 8th century.......


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